Financial sector news

Consensus forecast by the Ministry of Economy regarding the stability of the hryvnia

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Experts have revised their expectations for the hryvnia exchange rate for the coming years. Despite slower GDP growth and higher inflation, currency forecasts have become more favorable for the national currency.

Analysts have improved their estimates for hryvnia devaluation compared to the previous (April) forecast:

  • Exchange rate at the end of 2026: expected to be 44.5 UAH/$ (previous forecast — 46.3 UAH/$).
  • Average annual exchange rate: forecast at UAH 44.14/USD (instead of the previously expected UAH 45.3/USD).

Experts note that the variability of estimates remains wide due to military uncertainty, but the overall trend has shifted towards greater hryvnia stability.

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